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28 September 2002
News Stories:August Headlines

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1. New link `to put KCRC on earnings track'

2. Economy blamed as 40pc of latest HOS flats unsold

3. Beijing studies Zhuhai bridge

4. Wary buyers see HOS flat sales hit record low

1. New link `to put KCRC on earnings track'
Matthew Lee, The Standard 28 September 2002

The just-approved Kowloon Southern Link should add an extra 210,000 commuters a day and help the Kowloon-Canton Railway Corporation break even, chairman Yeung Kai-yin said yesterday.

When it comes into service in 2009, the new link - given government approval on Tuesday - is expected to boost commuter numbers on the corporation's West Rail to about 500,000 a day.

It would enable passengers to travel directly from Tuen Mun to Tsim Sha Tsui instead of switching to the Mass Transit Railway at Nam Cheong - present terminus of West Rail, which is due to open late next year.

Yeung said the West Rail line would most likely make a loss without the southern link, with daily passenger traffic falling short of the original projection of 300,000. With the link, ``passengers could save both money and time as it would be one company, one transit system and one price''.

Senior director of finance and management Samuel Lai said present projections of passenger traffic on West Rail were ``much less than earlier projections, and we are facing severe competition from buses and other public transport, so our fares will not be set as high as originally predicted''. He believed West Rail would break even after the southern link was brought into service. Lai said the fare for a single journey from Tin Shui Wai to Sham Shui Po - originally set at HK$20 - would be reduced, and it would cost around HK$1 more to go on to Tsim Sha Tsui through the southern link. Yeung said a fare increase to cover revenue loss was unlikely. ``While West Rail phase 1 is going to lose us some money until the Kowloon Southern Link extends West Rail to Tsim Sha Tsui, we simply have to bite the bullet for a few years,'' he said.

Yeung said the direct link to Tsim Sha Tsui would encourage more residents of the western New Territories to use West Rail.

Construction of the 4.5-kilometre project, to cost HK$9.2 billion, is scheduled to start in mid-2005, about six months after the KCRC's Hung Hom-Tsim Sha Tsui East extension is completed. It will complete the link between West Rail and East Rail.

``No pain no gain,'' Yeung said, refrring to disruption from construction work. ``We believe that the things we are demolishing when we are opening up roads and putting up boarding is done in accordance with the plan which causes the least possible disruption over the shortest possible time.''

Road digging for the Tsim Sha Tsui extension would conclude by the end of the year, with the remainder of the construction continuing underground.

Yeung said the KCRC would set aside HK$400 million to compensate shopowners and tenants affected by the construction of the southern link.

Meanwhile the KCRC is in talks with the MTR Corp and Kowloon Motor Bus on the possibility of providing discounts for passengers interchanging between various transport means.

``It takes two to tango,'' Yeung said.

2. Economy blamed as 40pc of latest HOS flats unsold
Eli Lau, The Standard 28 September 2002

More than 40 per cent of the 2,451 units in the latest phase of Home Ownership Scheme remain unsold.

HOS Phase 24A - the first batch of subsidised flats rolled out for sale after a 10-month moratorium ended in July - provided units at three projects in Lam Tin, Tai Wai and Sha Tin.

So far only 56 per cent of the units at Lam Tin have been sold, 58 per cent at Tai Wai and 55 per cent at Sha Tin.

Secretary for Housing, Planning and Lands Michael Suen refused to comment yesterday on whether the HOS should be abandoned given the weak response.

``There are many choices in both the public and private property sectors. The response [to HOS flat sales] reflects the public's choices,'' he said.

The flats on offer - at Ka Keng Court in Tai Wai, Yu Chui Court Stage 2 in Sha Tin and Lei On Court in Lam Tin - range from 506 square feet to 663 sq ft. They are being sold for between HK$870,000 and HK$1.87 million each, a 30 per cent discount to market value. The Housing Authority said the cool response was ``understandable'', given the weak economy and uncertainty in the job market.

In May, Chief Secretary for Administration Donald Tsang announced that 2,400 HOS flats would be released this month and another 2,500 units in April next year. He said HOS flat sales would be capped at 2,000 a year after April 2006 - a drastic reduction from the ceiling of 9,000 units set previously.

A government review of housing policy is under way and is expected to completed in the next two months.

Tycoon Stanley Ho predicted property prices would rise by 5-10 per cent in the next few months.

If the government could ``prescribe the right medicine for the disease'' and big property developers were united and didn't push down the prices, market confidence would be boosted, he said.

Executive Councillor James Tien said the government should rent out all the HOS flats and not to sell them to developers.

3. Beijing studies Zhuhai bridge
EXCLUSIVE by ANTOINE SO, SCMP 28 September 2002

Beijing has ordered a team of officials to decide whether there is a need for a bridge linking Hong Kong to Macau and Zhuhai, with mainland leaders to receive their recommendations on the controversial plan within weeks.

A delegation from the Transport Research Institute of the State Development Planning Commission secretly visited Hong Kong this week and held a series of meetings to gather data and opinions on the project.

The institute will complete a study on the feasibility of the bridge in time for the 16th Communist Party Congress in November. The study will provide the new leadership expected to be chosen at the congress with a clear recommendation on whether to give their blessing to the project. It will also settle a year-long squabble between Hong Kong, Macau and Zhuhai over the project.

A source close to this week's talks told the South China Morning Post that the delegation's "low-profile" visit to the SAR was to gather background and opinions on the project. "This study by Beijing will be an influential and determining one that will set aside all the squabbles," the source said. He would not reveal who took part in the meetings but said those involved included leading figures from the engineering and logistics sectors.

The source said that the study would look primarily at the need and timing of the bridge and estimate what gains the project would bring to the Pearl River Delta and western China under the Go West development campaign.

Financial arrangements - including the crucial question of whether the bridge should be privately or publicly funded - and other technical details will be investigated next year.

Hong Kong, Macau and Zhuhai have been locked in bitter debate over the bridge project, which was first proposed 19 years ago. It received fresh impetus last year when the chairman of the Hopewell Group, Sir Gordon Wu Ying-sheung, revived plans for the link.

In his vision, the bridge link with the western part of the delta could better position Hong Kong to become a logistics hub and reduce over-reliance on Shenzhen.

Sir Gordon has said a bridge could instigate rapid development in the western delta where Hong Kong's future manufacturing base could be moved to benefit from its cheap land and labour.

Pioneering the bridge idea in 1983, Sir Gordon's latest proposal is for a 29km bridge to connect Chek Lap Kok airport with Zhuhai and Macau. The project would cost about $15 billion and take three years to complete.

However, the plan has previously been cold-shouldered by Hong Kong transport officials, notably former secretary for transport Nicholas Ng Wing-fui, who has repeatedly insisted that the bridge will not be needed before 2020.

But the Hong Kong government has changed its position in recent months, with senior officials, including Chief Secretary Donald Tsang Yam-kuen and Financial Secretary Antony Leung Kam-chung, publicly supporting the bridge.

Debate over the bridge heated up recently when the managing director of Hutchison Whampoa, Canning Fok Kin-ning, said that his group was against any government subsidies for the project. Mr Fok has also said that the bridge is not necessary for cargo transportation.

The South China Morning Post this month reported that intense lobbying by tycoons had stalled a decision on the project.

"Now it seems that a major stumbling block has been cleared and everyone can really look at the issue sensibly," the source said.

"I hope the Beijing study will settle all the worries and bring the Pearl River Delta forward."

Shiu Sin-por, executive director of the One Country Two Systems Research Institute, said that with agreement between Hong Kong, Zhuhai and Macau, the bridge project could be given the go-ahead in six months.

He said initial consensus on the project was reached at the Mainland-Hong Kong Conference on Co-ordination of Major Infrastructure Projects held in Shanghai this month.

4. Wary buyers see HOS flat sales hit record low
PATSY MOY, SCMP 28 September 2002

Yesterday's offer of the latest batch of subsidised flats fetched a record sales low of 56 per cent in the wake of the government's announcement that it wants to prop up the property market.

Market analysts believe some families may be lured into shopping for private flats instead after the government indicated this week that it was planning to intervene in the property market to try to push up prices and help drag Hong Kong out of its economic slump.

Of 2,451 Home Ownership Scheme (HOS) flats from three projects in Lam Tin, Tai Wai and Sha Tin that were put on sale yesterday morning, 1,080 flats or 44 per cent remained unsold by 6pm yesterday.

It also means only 26 per cent of applicants actually bought homes, as the Housing Authority received 5,117 applications.

The authority said it was the lowest response since HOS flats were first introduced in 1978. The flats were usually fully sold out, the authority said, and even the previous worst sale achieved 82 per cent in December 1999, when 1,229 flats went unsold out of a total of 6,840 units on offer.

Secretary for Housing, Planning and Lands Michael Suen Ming-yeung said yesterday's sales reflected a level of market demand "which the government has to accept".

Meanwhile, Wong Leung-sing, chairman of the research committee at the Society of Hong Kong Real Estate Agents, said he believed some applicants for HOS flats might turn to the private market.

"I expect to see more families shopping around for private flats from this weekend - some of them may be lured into buying flats in the end and some may still wait and see.

"Hong Kong investors are always sensitive to market news," Mr Wong added.

The property agent said the poor sale had been expected as the demand for government-subsidised flats had been dented by the fierce price war raging between private developers.

But Housing Authority member Michael Choi Ngai-min said yesterday's sales were worse than he had expected.

Mr Choi warned the government to consider carefully its schedule for selling the remaining HOS flats in light of the poor market response.

The authority has around 10,000 completed HOS flats not yet put up for sale, but it did not have the figures on the number of flats still under construction.

Fellow Housing Authority member Wong Kwun accused the government of giving a mixed signal to the market, which he said was discouraging people from choosing HOS flats.

"The message sent out by the government is perplexing - sometimes saying it is to stabilise the market but now saying it is to force up the market. All this makes our potential HOS buyers very frustrated," Mr Wong said.

Meanwhile, developers are wooing buyers with ever sweeter deals, to the extent that private flats are being sold below their cost price.

In August Sun Hung Kai Properties released the first 26 units at Park Island in Ma Wan for public sale at a below-cost price of $2,250 per square foot, while Cheung Kong is offering 16 units of its Banyan Garden phase two in Cheung Sha Wan for $2,448 per square foot.

At these prices, they represent better value than some HOS flats.

Cheung Kong executive director Justin Chiu Kwok-hung reiterated that the prices of better quality private flats had fallen to comparable levels.
patsy.moy@scmp.com




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